Injury type · forearm_fracture
forearm fracture
1 entry · base-rate evidence: thin (base rate: judgment; the F4 interval starts at least twice as wide as a strong row)
Base-rate row
Current sheet; it may have changed since an entry below was published. Each entry records the strength it was published with.
F1 · IR
50%
F2 · Next game
5%
F3 · 4 weeks
35%
F4 · Games missed
4 (2–7)
F5 · Re-injury
5%
n = 108 · 1996-2005 · Sources: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0363546508318198
Running accuracy for this type
1 entry scored · 3 fields open. Same rules as the scoreboard; small n moves a lot.
| Field | Initial | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| F1 IR · Brier | 0.250 n=1 | 0.250 n=1 |
| F2 Next game · Brier | 0.003 n=1 | 0.003 n=1 |
| F3 4 weeks · Brier | — n=0 | — n=0 |
| F5 Re-injury · Brier | — n=0 | — n=0 |
| F4 Games missed · MAE / 80% coverage | — / — n=0 | — / — n=0 |
Entries
Devin White · Linebacker · Detroit Lions
Reported: Broken forearm, surgery planned (per Rapoport) · injury Oct 11, 2026 · published with thin evidence
PT-2026-004 · v1 · 2db5229d
2 resolved · 0 void · 3 open