TIER BPT-2026-017 · v1 · 999e0c76

Jaylin Noel · Wide Receiver · Houston Texans

Reported: turf toe injury, per DeMeco Ryans (tier B — national or beat reporter) · injury Oct 25, 2026

Mechanism: Injured on a kickoff return, Q4. No film reviewed; mechanism not established.

Forecast reviewed by Keith P. Johnson, MD · Published by ParatrOs

Forecast

v1 · 999e0c76 · published Mon, 26 Oct 2026 22:23:29 GMTcommit X X self-reply Farcaster

F1 · IR

15%

F2 · Next game

30%

F3 · 4 weeks

70%

F4 · Games missed

2 (0–8)

F5 · Re-injury

10%

What would move this: MRI/grade (plantar plate involvement); boot duration; Wed-Fri practice participation.

Base rate: turf_toe (thin) · sources: [1][2][3]

Resolutions

Each field resolves on its own from public records, is proposed by the ingest, and is locked only once the physician confirms it. A revision counts for a field only if it was published before that field’s freeze point. Scored on the scoreboard and the turf_toe page.

F1 · IRopen
F2 · Next gameopen
F3 · 4 weeksopen
F4 · Games missedopen
F5 · Re-injuryopen

Corrections

None. Clerical corrections are logged here as separate rows; a forecast row is never edited.